Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026No. 44Morning editionNumbers through Fri, Nov. 6Hot StoveFirst spring game in 104 days

17 finals around the world6 roster moves4-min readPress time 16:48 CETHeadlines: 1/20 feeds failed

In this editionVenezuelan Winter LeagueTonightAround the WorldHot StoveInsideLast Nightp. 2The Wirep. 3Around the Webp. 4

The Whiff

Six at-bats from a dramatic game, one at a time. Make your call before each one plays out.

Play The Whiff

Play before you read on: the pages below can give the score away.

Venezuelan Winter League

Tigres 2, Tiburones 3 (LVBP, 11, walk-off)

Tigres 2, Tiburones 3 (LVBP, 11, walk-off). Nationals: traded RHP Robert Cranz to Giants.

Win probability, Tigres 2 at Tiburones 3, 11 innings, Nov. 6, 2026. Biggest swing: Jorge Barrosa single, 11th inning, +37%.
Above the middle line the Tiburones de La Guaira were favored, below it the Tigres de Aragua.
  • 6.04 Drama Index, Game of the Night
  • 17 finals around the world
  • Countdown: first spring game Fri, Feb. 19 (in 104 days) · Opening Day Thu, March 25

Game of the Night, continued on page 2

Tonight

Hermosillo at Guasave

  • League Mexican Pacific League
  • First pitch Sun 01:00 CET
  • Hermosillo 45%
  • Guasave 55%

Built from: 50% → ratings 51% → home field 55% · starters not counted in winter ball

  • Tigres at Leones · 21:00 CET · Leones 53%
  • Gigantes at Tigres · 22:00 CET · Tigres 58%
  • Carolina at Ponce · 22:21 CET · Ponce 54%
  • San Juan at Caguas · 22:21 CET · Caguas 58%

How our forecast works

Around the World

  • KBO: Wiz 1, Lions 5 (Korean Series)
  • LIDOM: Leones 4, Gigantes 5 ★★★ · Toros 7, Tigres 5 ★★★ · Aguilas 11, Estrellas 2 ★
  • LVBP: Navegantes 2, Aguilas 1 ★★★★ · Bravos 2, Leones 4 ★★★ · Bravos 2, Leones 10 ★
  • LMP: Nayarit 10, Culiacan 7 (10) ★★★★★ · Jalisco 1, Obregon 8 ★★★ · Mexicali 4, Los Mochis 13 ★
  • LBPRC: Mayaguez 8, Santurce 7 (10) ★★★★★ · San Juan 5, Carolina 10 ★ · Ponce 7, Caguas 21 ★
  • AFL: Desert Dogs 0, Scorpions 1 (shutout) ★★★★ · Rafters 7, Saguaros 8 ★★★ · Solar Sox 4, Javelinas 13 ★★
TeamWLPctGB
Leones115.688–
Tigres106.6251.0
Gigantes88.5003.0
Estrellas78.4673.5
Toros610.3755.0
Aguilas510.3335.5
Dominican Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Caribes155.750–
Cardenales116.6472.5
Tigres119.5504.0
Leones1010.5005.0
Bravos1011.4765.5
Tiburones1012.4556.0
Navegantes913.4097.0
Aguilas616.27310.0
Venezuelan Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Guasave155.750–
Hermosillo118.5793.5
Mexicali129.5713.5
Obregon1110.5244.5
Culiacan1110.5244.5
Jalisco1110.5244.5
Mazatlan911.4506.0
Los Mochis812.4007.0
Nayarit813.3817.5
Navojoa614.3009.0
Mexican Pacific League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Carolina301.000–
San Juan11.5001.5
Caguas11.5001.5
Mayaguez12.3332.0
Ponce12.3332.0
Santurce12.3332.0
Puerto Rican Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage

Hot Stove

Giants: traded LHP Reiver Sanmartin to Nationals

  • Age 30
  • 2026 21.1 IP, 4.22 ERA, 9.7% K-BB
  • WAR -0.1

Also: Nationals: traded Robert Cranz · Guardians: claimed José Tena · Nationals: DFA’d Kyle Nicolas · Tigers: outrighted Yilber Díaz and 1 more

Continued on page 3

The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 Page 2

Last Night

Game of the Night: Tigres 2, Tiburones 3 (LVBP, 11, walk-off)

Continued from page 1

  • Drama Index 6.04 ★★★★★ · 1 lead change · 11 innings · peak leverage 6.39 (bottom 9th)
  • Top WPA: Jorge Barrosa +0.49 (batter) · Alcides Escobar +0.36 (batter) · Jose Gonzalez +0.23 (pitcher)
  • Bottom WPA: Chester Pimentel -0.57 (pitcher) · Keyber Rodriguez -0.34 (batter) · Jurickson Profar -0.27 (batter)

Watch: Gameday (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Bot 11thJorge Barrosa vs. Chester PimentelSingleLAG 63% → 100%+0.374.86
Bot 11thAlcides Escobar vs. Chester PimentelSac BuntLAG 45% → 80%+0.364.40
Top 11thRené Pinto vs. Yapson GomezDoubleARA 30% → 61%+0.323.98
The three biggest swings.

The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 Page 3

The Wire

Transaction Wire

Continued from page 1

  • Red Sox: released RHP Zack Kelly · MLB Trade Rumors
    Age 31 · 2026: 16.1 IP, 3.31 ERA, 9.9% K-BB · 0.1 WAR

The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 Page 4

Around the Web

Terms in this edition

Drama Index: Our own measure of how much a game kept both sides guessing: the total of every swing in win probability over the game, divided by 100. A game that one team controls from the first inning scores low; a game full of lead changes and late swings scores high.

Leverage Index (LI): How much the next plate appearance can swing win probability, compared with an average plate appearance. 1.0 is average; 2.0 means twice the usual stakes.

Win Probability Added (WPA): How much one play changed a team’s chance of winning. The batter is credited with the change and the pitcher is charged the same amount with the opposite sign; add up a player’s plays and you get his WPA for a game or a season.


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API and MyKBO Stats data; numbers through Nov. 6, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. How this site works

Daily puzzle

The Whiff

Six at-bats from last night’s most dramatic game, in the order they happened. Make your call before each one plays out. A new game every morning.

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