Sun, Oct. 11 · Week of Oct. 4-10 · 12 games · 2-min read
The Week at a Glance
By the numbers: 12 games · 81 runs · 16 HR · 0 extra-inning games · 5 one-run games · 1 shutout · 1 walk-off
Extremes: most runs: Guardians 9, White Sox 5, Thu Oct. 8
Team of the week: Rays 2-0, +4 run differential, streak W2
Walk-offs: Padres 3, Brewers 4, Sun Oct. 4: Jackson Chourio single
Game of the Week: Padres 3, Brewers 4
Sun Oct. 4 · Drama Index 3.97 ★★★★ · 1 lead change · stakes: postseason
Above the middle line the Brewers were favored, below it the Padres.
Inning
Matchup
Result
Win probability
WPA
LI
Bot 9th
Jackson Chourio vs. Mason Miller
Single
MIL 28% → 100%
+0.72
9.99
Bot 9th
Andrew Vaughn vs. Mason Miller
Flyout
MIL 34% → 18%
-0.17
7.11
Bot 7th
David Hamilton vs. Bradgley Rodriguez
Field Error
MIL 22% → 38%
+0.16
3.22
The three biggest swings.
Slugfest Superlatives
Player
Detail
When
Best start
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)
+0.34 WPA over 26 batters, innings 1-7
vs. ATL, Tue Oct. 6
Best relief outing
Sean Burke (CWS)
+0.34 WPA over 18 batters, innings 3-8, entered at LI 0.86
vs. CLE, Mon Oct. 5
Biggest hit
Jackson Chourio (MIL)
single, bottom 9th, 2-3 → 4-3, +0.72 WPA
vs. SD, Sun Oct. 4
Toughest week at the plate
Angel Martínez (CLE)
-0.39 WPA over 12 plate appearances
3 games
Leaderboards
Batter
Team
WPA
PA
G
José Ramírez
Guardians
+0.59
18
4
Jackson Chourio
Brewers
+0.48
15
3
Jo Adell
Guardians
+0.42
18
4
Andy Pages
Dodgers
+0.27
11
3
Sam Antonacci
White Sox
+0.24
17
4
Batting WPA, Oct. 4-10
Pitcher
Team
WPA
BF
G
Michael King
Padres
+0.40
27
2
Gavin Williams
Guardians
+0.39
46
3
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Dodgers
+0.34
26
1
Sean Burke
White Sox
+0.33
36
2
Bryan Baker
Rays
+0.29
7
2
Pitching WPA, Oct. 4-10
Team
W-L
RS
RA
Diff
Rays
2-0
9
5
+4
Guardians
3-1
23
12
+11
Dodgers
2-1
9
5
+4
Brewers
2-1
10
8
+2
Padres
1-2
8
10
-2
Best records, Oct. 4-10
The Bracket
AL Division Series: Yankees at Rays, Rays win 3-0 (2 games this week)
AL Division Series: White Sox at Guardians, Guardians win 3-2 (4 games this week)
NL Division Series: Padres at Brewers, Brewers win 3-1 (3 games this week)
NL Division Series: Braves at Dodgers, Dodgers win 3-1 (3 games this week)
Sources & Notes
Built automatically from MLB Stats API data for the US game days Oct. 4-10, 2026 (12 games); win probability, WPA and leverage cover plate appearances only. How this site works
