Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026No. 42Morning editionNumbers through Wed, Nov. 4Hot StoveFirst spring game in 106 days

18 finals around the world2 roster moves3-min readPress time 18:30 CETHeadlines: 1/20 feeds failed

In this editionDominican Winter LeagueTonightAround the WorldHot StoveOn this dayInsideLast Nightp. 2The Wirep. 3Around the Webp. 4

The Whiff

Six at-bats from a dramatic game, one at a time. Make your call before each one plays out.

Play The Whiff

Play before you read on: the pages below can give the score away.

Dominican Winter League

Estrellas 12, Aguilas 7 (LIDOM, 10)

Estrellas 12, Aguilas 7 (LIDOM, 10). Nationals: released RHP Zak Kent.

Win probability, Estrellas 12 at Aguilas 7, 10 innings, Nov. 4, 2026. Biggest swing: Robert Moore single, 9th inning, +42%.
Above the middle line the Aguilas Cibaenas were favored, below it the Estrellas Orientales.
  • 6.59 Drama Index, Game of the Night
  • 18 finals around the world
  • Countdown: first spring game Fri, Feb. 19 (in 106 days) · Opening Day Thu, March 25

Game of the Night, continued on page 2

Tonight

Caribes at Cardenales

  • League Venezuelan Winter League
  • First pitch Fri 00:00 CET
  • Caribes 47%
  • Cardenales 53%

Built from: 50% → ratings 48% → home field 53% · starters not counted in winter ball

  • Tiburones at Tigres · Fri 00:00 CET · Tigres 58%
  • Bravos at Leones · Fri 00:00 CET · Leones 54%
  • Navegantes at Aguilas · Fri 00:00 CET · Aguilas 51%
  • Caguas at San Juan · Fri 00:21 CET · San Juan 51%

How our forecast works

Around the World

  • KBO: Lions 3, Wiz 2 (Korean Series, 12)
  • LIDOM: Tigres 9, Toros 5 ★★★ · Gigantes 1, Leones 5 ★★
  • LVBP: Leones 10, Tiburones 7 ★★★★ · Bravos 7, Navegantes 8 ★★★★ · Tigres 14, Cardenales 8 ★★★ · Caribes 4, Aguilas 6 ★★
  • LMP: Guasave 10, Jalisco 5 ★★★★ · Culiacan 7, Hermosillo 6 ★★★★ · Navojoa 9, Obregon 3 ★★★ · Mazatlan 5, Mexicali 1 ★★ · Los Mochis 7, Nayarit 1 ★
  • LBPRC: Mayaguez 1, Carolina 6 ★★★ · Ponce 1, Santurce 4 ★★
  • AFL: Rafters 9, Scorpions 8 ★★★★★ · Solar Sox 14, Javelinas 5 ★★★★ · Saguaros 0, Desert Dogs 2 (shutout) ★★★
TeamWLPctGB
Leones114.733–
Tigres105.6671.0
Estrellas77.5003.5
Gigantes78.4674.0
Toros510.3336.0
Aguilas410.2866.5
Dominican Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Caribes155.750–
Cardenales116.6472.5
Tigres117.6113.0
Bravos109.5264.5
Leones810.4446.0
Tiburones812.4007.0
Navegantes713.3508.0
Aguilas614.3009.0
Venezuelan Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Guasave154.789–
Mexicali127.6323.0
Culiacan118.5794.0
Hermosillo108.5564.5
Jalisco109.5265.0
Obregon910.4746.0
Mazatlan811.4217.0
Los Mochis711.3897.5
Navojoa613.3169.0
Nayarit613.3169.0
Mexican Pacific League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Santurce101.000–
Carolina101.000–
Mayaguez01.0001.0
Ponce01.0001.0
Puerto Rican Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage

Hot Stove

Nationals: released RHP Zak Kent

  • Age 28
  • 2026 16.1 IP, 5.51 ERA, 5.2% K-BB
  • WAR -0.1

Continued on page 3

On this day

World Series Game 6: Astros 4, Phillies 1

Nov. 5, 2022 · Drama 2.00 ★★

The Daily Whiff · Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026 Page 2

Last Night

Game of the Night: Estrellas 12, Aguilas 7 (LIDOM, 10)

Continued from page 1

  • Drama Index 6.59 ★★★★★ · 2 lead changes · 10 innings · peak leverage 5.63 (top 8th)
  • Top WPA: Edgar Quero +0.60 (batter) · José Tena +0.47 (batter) · Robert Moore +0.41 (batter)
  • Bottom WPA: Wilkin Ramos -0.68 (pitcher) · José Leclerc -0.53 (pitcher) · Luis García -0.30 (pitcher)

Watch: Gameday (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Bot 9thRobert Moore vs. Luis GarcíaSingleAGU 15% → 56%+0.415.56
Top 9thEdgar Quero vs. Wilkin RamosSingleEST 48% → 83%+0.354.63
Top 9thMarco Luciano vs. Wilkin RamosSingleEST 12% → 43%+0.314.34
The three biggest swings.

The Daily Whiff · Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026 Page 3

The Wire

Transaction Wire

Continued from page 1

  • Reds: signed RHP Many Ramirez to a minor league deal

The Daily Whiff · Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026 Page 4

Around the Web

News

Transactions & Rumors

Analysis · Prospects · Listen (8)
Analysis
Prospects
Listen

Terms in this edition

Drama Index: Our own measure of how much a game kept both sides guessing: the total of every swing in win probability over the game, divided by 100. A game that one team controls from the first inning scores low; a game full of lead changes and late swings scores high.

Leverage Index (LI): How much the next plate appearance can swing win probability, compared with an average plate appearance. 1.0 is average; 2.0 means twice the usual stakes.

Win Probability Added (WPA): How much one play changed a team’s chance of winning. The batter is credited with the change and the pitcher is charged the same amount with the opposite sign; add up a player’s plays and you get his WPA for a game or a season.


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API and MyKBO Stats data; numbers through Nov. 4, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. How this site works

Daily puzzle

The Whiff

Six at-bats from last night’s most dramatic game, in the order they happened. Make your call before each one plays out. A new game every morning.

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