Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026No. 47Morning editionNumbers through Mon, Nov. 9Hot StoveFirst spring game in 101 days

2 awards5 finals around the world4 roster moves3-min readPress time 18:11 CETHeadlines: 1/20 feeds failed

In this editionAL Rookie of the YearTonightAwardsAround the WorldHot StoveInsideLast Nightp. 2The Wirep. 3Around the Webp. 4

The Whiff

Six at-bats from a dramatic game, one at a time. Make your call before each one plays out.

Play The Whiff

Play before you read on: the pages below can give the score away.

AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle wins AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle wins AL Rookie of the Year. Leones 7, Cardenales 2 (LVBP).

AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle

Tigers · SS

  • 156 G
  • .806 OPS
  • 18 HR
  • 5.4 WAR

2026 season numbers: MLB Stats API

  • Countdown: first spring game Fri, Feb. 19 (in 101 days) · Opening Day Thu, March 25

Tonight

Obregon at Hermosillo

  • League Mexican Pacific League
  • First pitch Wed 03:30 CET
  • Obregon 44%
  • Hermosillo 56%

Built from: 50% → ratings 51% → home field 56% · starters not counted in winter ball

  • Tigres at Tiburones · Wed 00:00 CET · Tiburones 54%
  • Navegantes at Bravos · Wed 00:00 CET · Bravos 51%
  • Carolina at Caguas · Wed 00:21 CET · Caguas 54%
  • Mayaguez at Ponce · Wed 00:21 CET · Ponce 58%

How our forecast works

Awards

  • NL Rookie of the Year Sal Stewart, Reds (1B)

Around the World

  • LIDOM: Aguilas 6, Tigres 8 ★★★ · Leones 5, Toros 2 ★★★ · Estrellas 6, Gigantes 3 ★★
  • LVBP: Leones 7, Cardenales 2 ★★★★
  • LMP: Hermosillo 9, Los Mochis 2 ★
TeamWLPctGB
Tigres136.684–
Leones136.684–
Gigantes910.4744.0
Estrellas810.4444.5
Toros712.3686.0
Aguilas612.3336.5
Dominican Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Caribes156.714–
Leones1310.5653.0
Cardenales119.5503.5
Bravos1111.5004.5
Tigres1111.5004.5
Tiburones1113.4585.5
Navegantes1113.4585.5
Aguilas717.2929.5
Venezuelan Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage
TeamWLPctGB
Guasave176.739–
Mexicali1310.5654.0
Hermosillo1310.5654.0
Obregon1310.5654.0
Culiacan1211.5225.0
Mazatlan1112.4786.0
Jalisco1112.4786.0
Nayarit914.3918.0
Los Mochis914.3918.0
Navojoa716.30410.0
Mexican Pacific League standings, in order of winning percentage

Hot Stove

Mets: outrighted 2B Kyren Paris to Syracuse Mets

  • Age 24
  • 2026 8 G, .167 OPS, 0 HR
  • WAR -0.4

Also: Dodgers: claimed Christian Cairo and 2 more

Continued on page 3

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026 Page 2

Last Night

Game of the Night: Leones 7, Cardenales 2 (LVBP)

  • Drama Index 3.64 ★★★★ · 0 lead changes · peak leverage 4.30 (bottom 8th)
  • Top WPA: Rangel Ravelo +0.17 (batter) · Wuilfredo Antunez +0.17 (batter) · Dale Stanavich +0.15 (pitcher)
  • Bottom WPA: Danry Vasquez -0.23 (batter) · Gustavo Rodriguez -0.19 (pitcher) · Listher Sosa -0.14 (pitcher)
Win probability, Leones 7 at Cardenales 2, Nov. 9, 2026. Biggest swing: Lenyn Sosa grounded into DP, 7th inning, -15%.
Above the middle line the Cardenales de Lara were favored, below it the Leones del Caracas.

Watch: Gameday (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 7thLenyn Sosa vs. Christian CosbyGrounded Into DPCAR 56% → 41%-0.153.22
Bot 5thYojhan Quevedo vs. Wilkel HernandezHome RunLAR 42% → 57%+0.151.33
Top 8thWilfredo Tovar vs. Listher SosaSingleCAR 50% → 63%+0.131.82
The three biggest swings.

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026 Page 3

The Wire

Transaction Wire

Continued from page 1

  • Guardians: signed LHP Antoine Kelly to a minor league deal
  • Pirates: signed RHP Enmanuel Nunez to a minor league deal

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026 Page 4

Around the Web

Terms in this edition

Drama Index: Our own measure of how much a game kept both sides guessing: the total of every swing in win probability over the game, divided by 100. A game that one team controls from the first inning scores low; a game full of lead changes and late swings scores high.

Leverage Index (LI): How much the next plate appearance can swing win probability, compared with an average plate appearance. 1.0 is average; 2.0 means twice the usual stakes.

Win Probability Added (WPA): How much one play changed a team’s chance of winning. The batter is credited with the change and the pitcher is charged the same amount with the opposite sign; add up a player’s plays and you get his WPA for a game or a season.


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API data; numbers through Nov. 9, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. How this site works

Daily puzzle

The Whiff

Six at-bats from last night’s most dramatic game, in the order they happened. Make your call before each one plays out. A new game every morning.

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