Rays, Red Sox, Guardians clinch; D-backs go 5-1

Sun, Sept. 27 · Week of Sept. 20-26 · 91 games · 3-min read

The Week at a Glance

  • By the numbers: 91 games · 766 runs · 197 HR · 3 extra-inning games · 23 one-run games · 14 shutouts · 3 walk-offs
  • Extremes: longest: Marlins 8, Cubs 2 (12), Tue Sept. 22 · most runs: White Sox 14, Royals 11, Tue Sept. 22
  • Clinched: Rays (AL East) · Yankees (wild card) · Red Sox (wild card) · Guardians (AL Central) · White Sox (wild card) · Braves (NL East) · Brewers (NL Central) · Cubs (wild card) · Padres (wild card)
  • Eliminated: Orioles · Blue Jays · Twins · Tigers · Mariners
  • Team of the week: D-backs 5-1, +19 run differential, streak L1
  • Walk-offs: Reds 2, Braves 3 (10), Wed Sept. 23: Mauricio Dubón single · Astros 5, Mariners 6 (10), Wed Sept. 23: Josh Naylor single · Pirates 3, Tigers 4, Sat Sept. 26: Eduardo Valencia home run
  • Grand slams: Nolan Arenado (AZ), Sun Sept. 20 · Vinnie Pasquantino (KC), Tue Sept. 22 · Ryan McMahon (NYY), Wed Sept. 23 · Brett Baty (NYM), Wed Sept. 23 · Dylan Beavers (BAL), Fri Sept. 25
  • Biggest comeback: Athletics from 6 down: Angels 7, Athletics 9, Tue Sept. 22

Game of the Week: Marlins 8, Cubs 2 (12)

  • Tue Sept. 22 · Drama Index 5.32 ★★★★★ · 0 lead changes · 12 innings
Win probability, Marlins 8 at Cubs 2, 12 innings, Sept. 22, 2026. Biggest swing: Esteury Ruiz lineout, 11th inning, -19%.
Above the middle line the Cubs were favored, below it the Marlins.
InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 11thEsteury Ruiz vs. Caleb ThielbarLineoutMIA 39% → 20%-0.196.87
Top 12thGriffin Conine vs. Caleb ThielbarSingleMIA 50% → 69%+0.192.74
Top 11thJoe Mack vs. Caleb ThielbarPop OutMIA 57% → 39%-0.195.65
The three biggest swings.

Slugfest Superlatives

PlayerDetailWhen
Best startEury Pérez (MIA)+0.60 WPA over 29 batters, innings 1-9vs. ATL, Fri Sept. 25
Best relief outingJedixson Paez (BOS)+0.46 WPA over 18 batters, innings 5-9, entered at LI 1.94vs. CHC, Fri Sept. 25
Biggest hitEduardo Valencia (DET)home run, bottom 9th, 2-3 → 4-3, +0.83 WPAvs. PIT, Sat Sept. 26
Toughest week at the plateCarson Kelly (CHC)-0.62 WPA over 12 plate appearances4 games

Leaderboards

BatterTeamWPAPAG
Pete AlonsoOrioles+0.79266
Nolan ArenadoD-backs+0.78286
Carter JensenRoyals+0.73235
Christian MooreAngels+0.65246
George Lombard Jr.Yankees+0.60246
Batting WPA, Sept. 20-26
PitcherTeamWPABFG
Cade SmithGuardians+0.82144
Eury PérezMarlins+0.71322
Kade AndersonMariners+0.60392
Carlos RodónYankees+0.49251
David PetersonCubs+0.48412
Pitching WPA, Sept. 20-26
TeamW-LRSRADiff
D-backs5-15031+19
Brewers5-12714+13
Guardians5-12817+11
White Sox4-24728+19
Twins4-22917+12
Best records, Sept. 20-26

The Race

DivisionLeaderChaserLead a week ago → nowLeader’s weekMagic #
AL EastRaysYankees5 → 54-3clinched
AL CentralGuardiansWhite Sox1 → 25-1clinched
AL WestAstrosRangers1 → tied3-32
NL EastBravesPhillies6 → 73-3clinched
Division races that were open a week ago.
TeamW-LWeekSept. 19Sept. 26
Yankees93-684-3+10.5+10
Red Sox87-743-3+5+4
White Sox83-784-2cut linecut line
Rangers80-812-4div. leader-3
Orioles79-824-2-4-4
Blue Jays78-832-4-3-5
AL wild card: games ahead of (+) or behind (−) the third spot.
TeamW-LWeekSept. 19Sept. 26
Padres90-714-2+1+3
Cubs88-732-4+1+1
Phillies87-742-4cut linecut line
D-backs86-755-1-4-1
NL wild card: games ahead of (+) or behind (−) the third spot.
TeamRacePlaceWeek
OriolesAL East5th → 4th4-2
AstrosAL West2nd → 1st (tied)3-3
Orioleswild card6th → 5th4-2
Blue JaysAL East4th → 5th2-4
Cubswild card1st → 2nd2-4
Biggest moves.

Sources & Notes

Assembled automatically each Sunday by The Daily Whiff’s software from MLB Stats API data. How this site works

Covers the US game days Sept. 20-26, 2026 (91 games). Data: MLB Advanced Media via the MLB Stats API, used under its individual, non-commercial terms; win probability, WPA and leverage cover plate appearances only. Tables, analysis and charts © The Daily Whiff. Independent fan site, not affiliated with MLB or any club.

Glossaries: MLB glossary · FanGraphs Library