Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026No. 40Morning editionNumbers through Mon, Nov. 2Hot StoveFirst spring game in 108 days

3 finals around the world213 roster moves3-min readPress time 18:11 CETHeadlines: 1/20 feeds failed

In this editionArizona Fall LeagueTonightAround the WorldHot StoveOn this dayInsideLast Nightp. 2The Wirep. 3Around the Webp. 4

The Whiff

Six at-bats from a dramatic game, one at a time. Make your call before each one plays out.

Play The Whiff

Play before you read on: the pages below can give the score away.

Arizona Fall League

Scorpions 12, Rafters 10 (AFL)

Scorpions 12, Rafters 10 (AFL). Rays: traded RHP Evan Reifert to Astros.

Win probability, Scorpions 12 at Rafters 10, Nov. 2, 2026. Biggest swing: Dalton Wentz double, 6th inning, +32%.
Above the middle line the Salt River Rafters were favored, below it the Scottsdale Scorpions.
  • 2.98 Drama Index, Game of the Night
  • 3 finals around the world
  • Countdown: first spring game Fri, Feb. 19 (in 108 days) · Opening Day Thu, March 25

Game of the Night, continued on page 2

Tonight

Guasave at Jalisco

  • League Mexican Pacific League
  • First pitch Wed 02:30 CET
  • Guasave 45%
  • Jalisco 55%

Built from: 50% → ratings 50% → home field 55% · starters not counted in winter ball

  • Bravos at Navegantes · Wed 00:00 CET · Navegantes 53%
  • Tiburones at Leones · Wed 00:00 CET · Leones 54%
  • Caribes at Aguilas · Wed 00:00 CET · Caribes 55%
  • Toros at Leones · Wed 00:15 CET · Leones 59%

How our forecast works

Around the World

  • LVBP: Cardenales 2, Tigres 8 ★★★
  • AFL: Saguaros 18, Solar Sox 8 ★
TeamWLPctGB
Caribes144.778–
Cardenales115.6882.0
Bravos107.5883.5
Tigres107.5883.5
Leones79.4386.0
Tiburones711.3897.0
Navegantes513.2789.0
Aguilas513.2789.0
Venezuelan Winter League standings, in order of winning percentage

Hot Stove

Tigers: signed RHP Jacob Waguespack

  • Age 32
  • 2026 47.0 IP, 2.49 ERA, 9.3% K-BB
  • WAR -0.1

Also: Rays: traded Evan Reifert · Cubs: claimed Eric Orze · Mariners: claimed Isaac Mattson · Nick Martinez elected free agency · Michael Soroka elected free agency and 207 more

Continued on page 3

On this day

World Series Game 5: Astros 3, Phillies 2

Nov. 3, 2022 · Drama 3.60 ★★★★

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 Page 2

Last Night

Game of the Night: Scorpions 12, Rafters 10 (AFL)

Continued from page 1

  • Drama Index 2.98 ★★★ · 2 lead changes · Scorpions came back from 5 down · peak leverage 4.22 (top 6th)
  • Top WPA: Dalton Wentz +0.36 (batter) · Luke Davis +0.24 (batter) · Nehomar Ochoa Jr. +0.20 (batter)
  • Bottom WPA: Luke Craig -0.47 (pitcher) · John West -0.30 (pitcher) · Jank Pichardo -0.28 (pitcher)

Watch: Gameday (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 6thDalton Wentz vs. Luke CraigDoubleSCO 53% → 86%+0.324.22
Top 6thNehomar Ochoa Jr. vs. John WestDoubleSCO 18% → 37%+0.202.54
Top 6thLuke Davis vs. Luke CraigWalkSCO 50% → 64%+0.143.92
The three biggest swings.

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 Page 3

The Wire

Transaction Wire

Continued from page 1

  • Red Sox: designated RHP Zack Kelly for assignment
    Age 31 · 2026: 16.1 IP, 3.31 ERA, 9.9% K-BB · 0.1 WAR
  • Red Sox: designated LHP Eduardo Rivera for assignment · MLB Trade Rumors
    Age 23 · 2026: 10.0 IP, 6.30 ERA, 9.1% K-BB · 0.1 WAR

Also: 104 players activated from the injured list

More moves (101)
  • Astros: outrighted CF Jake Meyers to Sugar Land Space Cowboys
  • Astros: selected C César Salazar from Sugar Land Space Cowboys
  • Astros: selected RHP Roddery Muñoz from Sugar Land Space Cowboys
  • Athletics: 2B Jeff McNeil elected free agency
  • Athletics: LHP Jeffrey Springs elected free agency
  • Blue Jays: CF Myles Straw elected free agency
  • Blue Jays: outrighted RHP CJ Van Eyk to Buffalo Bisons
  • Blue Jays: status change for RHP Jake Bloss
  • Braves: claimed LHP Mitchell Parker off waivers from Nationals
  • Brewers: C Gary Sánchez elected free agency
  • Brewers: RHP Antonio Senzatela elected free agency
  • Brewers: outrighted LHP Jared Koenig to Nashville Sounds
  • Brewers: outrighted RHP Bryse Wilson to Nashville Sounds
  • Cardinals: designated RHP Chase Hampton for assignment
  • Cardinals: RHP Ryne Stanek elected free agency
  • Cubs: LHP Caleb Thielbar elected free agency
  • Cubs: RHP Clay Holmes elected free agency
  • Cubs: RHP Colin Rea elected free agency
  • Cubs: RHP Hunter Harvey elected free agency
  • Cubs: outrighted 1B Tyler Austin to Iowa Cubs
  • D-backs: outrighted 1B Pavin Smith to Reno Aces · MLB Trade Rumors
  • Giants: designated LHP Reiver Sanmartin for assignment · MLB Trade Rumors
  • Giants: released RHP Tristan Beck
  • Giants: outrighted LHP Seth Lonsway to Sacramento River Cats
  • Giants: outrighted RHP Joel Kuhnel to Sacramento River Cats
  • Giants: status change for C Jesus Rodriguez
  • Giants: status change for RHP Randy Rodríguez
  • Mariners: outrighted 3B Patrick Wisdom to Tacoma Rainiers
  • Mariners: outrighted 3B Weston Wilson to Tacoma Rainiers
  • Mariners: outrighted 3B Will Wilson to Tacoma Rainiers
  • Mariners: outrighted LHP Josh Simpson to Tacoma Rainiers
  • Mariners: outrighted RHP Troy Watson to Tacoma Rainiers
  • Marlins: claimed RHP Cameron Weston off waivers from Mets
  • Marlins: outrighted LHP Patrick Monteverde to Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
  • Mets: claimed RHP Jack Anderson off waivers from Twins
  • Mets: claimed RHP Pierson Ohl off waivers from Rockies
  • Mets: designated 2B Kyren Paris for assignment
  • Mets: designated SS Christian Cairo for assignment
  • Mets: outrighted 1B Eric Wagaman to Syracuse Mets
  • Mets: outrighted OF Cristian Pache to Syracuse Mets
  • Nationals: designated DH José Tena for assignment
  • Nationals: designated LHP Ken Waldichuk for assignment
  • Nationals: designated LHP PJ Poulin for assignment
  • Nationals: outrighted LHP Ken Waldichuk to Rochester Red Wings
  • Nationals: outrighted LHP PJ Poulin to Rochester Red Wings
  • Nationals: outrighted LHP Richard Lovelady to Rochester Red Wings
  • Orioles: claimed C Zach Morgan off waivers from Giants
  • Orioles: claimed LHP Philip Abner off waivers from Mets
  • Orioles: claimed RHP Chase Hampton off waivers from Cardinals
  • Orioles: claimed RHP Josh White off waivers from Marlins
  • Orioles: 1B Ryan Mountcastle elected free agency
  • Orioles: CF Leody Taveras elected free agency
  • Orioles: outrighted C Yohel Pozo to Norfolk Tides
  • Orioles: outrighted LF Heston Kjerstad to Norfolk Tides
  • Orioles: outrighted RHP Yosver Zulueta to Norfolk Tides
  • Padres: DH Miguel Andujar elected free agency
  • Padres: RHP Griffin Canning elected free agency
  • Padres: RHP Lucas Giolito elected free agency
  • Padres: RHP Nick Pivetta elected free agency
  • Padres: selected LHP Luis Gutierrez from El Paso Chihuahuas
  • Phillies: claimed 3B Brett Harris off waivers from Giants
  • Phillies: claimed 3B Shay Whitcomb off waivers from Giants
  • Phillies: C Garrett Stubbs elected free agency
  • Phillies: status change for LF Felix Reyes
  • Pirates: claimed LF Akil Baddoo off waivers from Brewers
  • Rangers: claimed RHP José Buttó off waivers from Giants
  • Rangers: C Kyle Higashioka elected free agency
  • Rangers: DH Joc Pederson elected free agency
  • Rangers: RHP Jakob Junis elected free agency
  • Rays: 3B Nick Madrigal elected free agency
  • Rays: CF Cedric Mullins elected free agency
  • Rays: outrighted RHP Jonathan Heasley to Durham Bulls
  • Rays: selected RF Jack Suwinski from Durham Bulls
  • Rays: selected RHP Alexander Alberto from Durham Bulls
  • Rays: status change for 2B Jadher Areinamo
  • Rays: status change for C Kenny Piper
  • Rays: status change for LHP Shane McClanahan
  • Rays: status change for RHP Alex Cook
  • Rays: status change for RHP Brody Hopkins
  • Rays: status change for RHP Casey Legumina
  • Rays: status change for RHP Jesse Scholtens
  • Rays: status change for RHP Joe Boyle
  • Rays: status change for RHP Manuel Rodríguez
  • Rays: status change for RHP Mason Englert
  • Rays: status change for RHP Ty Johnson
  • Rays: status change for SS Carson Williams
  • Reds: claimed RHP Duncan Davitt off waivers from Giants
  • Reds: claimed RHP Paxton Schultz off waivers from Nationals
  • Rockies: outrighted 2B Chad Stevens to Albuquerque Isotopes
  • Rockies: outrighted RHP Blake Adams to Albuquerque Isotopes
  • Rockies: outrighted RHP Eiberson Castellano to Albuquerque Isotopes
  • Rockies: outrighted RHP TJ Shook to Albuquerque Isotopes
  • Tigers: designated RHP Yilber Díaz for assignment
  • Tigers: RHP Kenley Jansen elected free agency · MLB Trade Rumors
  • Tigers: released LHP Bailey Horn
  • Tigers: released RHP Sawyer Gipson-Long
  • Tigers: outrighted LF Corey Julks to Toledo Mud Hens
  • White Sox: claimed 3B Graham Pauley off waivers from Marlins
  • White Sox: outrighted CF Junior Perez to Charlotte Knights
  • White Sox: outrighted LHP Ky Bush to Charlotte Knights
  • Yankees: selected SS Marco Luciano from Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

The Daily Whiff · Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 Page 4

Around the Web

Terms in this edition

Drama Index: Our own measure of how much a game kept both sides guessing: the total of every swing in win probability over the game, divided by 100. A game that one team controls from the first inning scores low; a game full of lead changes and late swings scores high.

Leverage Index (LI): How much the next plate appearance can swing win probability, compared with an average plate appearance. 1.0 is average; 2.0 means twice the usual stakes.

Win Probability Added (WPA): How much one play changed a team’s chance of winning. The batter is credited with the change and the pitcher is charged the same amount with the opposite sign; add up a player’s plays and you get his WPA for a game or a season.


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API data; numbers through Nov. 2, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. How this site works

Daily puzzle

The Whiff

Six at-bats from last night’s most dramatic game, in the order they happened. Make your call before each one plays out. A new game every morning.

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