Guardians cruise past White Sox 9-5

Thu, Oct. 8 · 1 game · Stat Lab #15: WHIP: base runners per inning · 6-min read

Press time 17:23 CEST · Final 1/1 · Statcast: posted

Last Night at a Glance

  • AL Division Series Game 4: Guardians 9, White Sox 5 · Tied 2-2

Scoreboard

MatchupFinalDramaDecisionsLinks
CLE @ CWS9-53.00 ★★★★W Sabrowski · L KayBox · Savant · Explore
Sorted by Drama Index: how much win probability swung during the game.

The Bracket

Wild Card Series (best of three, every game at the higher seed)

  • AL: White Sox at Astros: White Sox win 2-0.
  • AL: Red Sox at Yankees: Yankees win 2-0.
  • NL: Phillies at Braves: Braves win 2-1.
  • NL: Cubs at Padres: Padres win 2-0.

Division Series (best of five)

  • AL: Yankees at Rays: Rays win 3-0.
  • AL: White Sox at Guardians: Tied 2-2 · Game 5: Sun, Oct. 11, 02:00 CEST (8:00 p.m. ET).
  • NL: Padres at Brewers: Brewers win 3-1.
  • NL: Braves at Dodgers: Dodgers win 3-1.

Championship Series (best of seven)

  • AL: Tampa Bay Rays hosts CLE/CWS (slots still open).
  • NL: Dodgers at Brewers: Not started · Game 1: Mon, Oct. 12, 02:00 CEST (8:00 p.m. ET).

The whole postseason so far, with every Daily: Postseason hub.

Game of the Night: Guardians 9, White Sox 5

  • Drama Index 3.00 ★★★★ · 3 lead changes · Guardians came back from 2 down · peak leverage 3.57 (bottom 5th)
  • Top WPA: José Ramírez +0.28 (batter) · Patrick Bailey +0.24 (batter) · Sam Antonacci +0.18 (batter)
  • Bottom WPA: Grant Taylor -0.43 (pitcher) · Tim Herrin -0.25 (pitcher) · Jordan Hicks -0.22 (pitcher)
Win probability, Guardians 9 at White Sox 5, Oct. 8, 2026. Biggest swing: José Ramírez home run, 5th inning, +25%.
Above the middle line the White Sox were favored, below it the Guardians.

Watch: condensed game, 20 min · recap, 3 min (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 5thJosé Ramírez vs. Jordan HicksHome RunCLE 37% → 61%+0.251.77
Top 6thTravis Bazzana vs. Anthony KayDoubleCLE 37% → 53%+0.162.03
Top 6thPatrick Bailey vs. Grant TaylorSingleCLE 53% → 66%+0.131.95
The three biggest swings.

Top Performers

StarterGameIPHR (ER)BBKPitchesGSc
Parker MessickCLE @ CWS2.122456541
Hagen SmithCWS vs. CLE0.200302738
Best starts by Game Score v2 (50 is average, 70+ is excellent).
BatterTeamLineWPA
José RamírezCLE2-for-5, HR, 3 RBI+0.28
Patrick BaileyCLE2-for-3, HR, 2 RBI+0.24
Sam AntonacciCWS1-for-2, 2 RBI+0.18
Munetaka MurakamiCWS1-for-3, 1 RBI, 2 BB, SB+0.17
Chase MeidrothCWS1-for-4, 2B, BB+0.12
Best bats by Win Probability Added (+0.50 = half a win).

Statcast Corner

  • 55 tracked balls in play, 42% hard-hit (95+ mph), 6 barrels
  • 5 pitches at 100+ mph from 2 pitchers
CategoryPlayerDetailWhere
Unluckiest outRandal Grichuk (CWS)line drive out, xBA .886, 64.9 mph (104 km/h), caught by 2B Travis BazzanaCLE @ CWS, bot 1
Hardest-hit ballMunetaka Murakami (CWS)110.9 mph (178 km/h) single off Tim HerrinCLE @ CWS, bot 5
Fastest pitchJordan Hicks (CWS)100.4 mph (162 km/h) four-seamer to Chase DeLauterCLE @ CWS, top 5
Longest home runMiguel Vargas (CWS)386 ft (118 m), 103.3 mph (166 km/h)CLE @ CWS, bot 9

Stat Lab · Lesson 15: WHIP: base runners per inning

Cade Smith faced six batters in a 9-5 Guardians win over the White Sox last night, and three of them reached base on a hit or a walk. Hits and walks are the two most common ways a batter gets on base, and one simple stat counts them for a whole season. It is called WHIP, and his is 0.96, against 1.30 for the league as a whole. Lower is better.

The idea. WHIP stands for walks plus hits per inning pitched. It adds up the batters a pitcher lets on base in those two ways and divides by his innings, so a starter and a reliever sit on the same scale. Lower is better: every runner is a possible run, and a homer with two men on is worth three runs instead of one. Walks are mostly the pitcher’s own doing. Hits are shakier: whether a ball in play finds a glove depends a lot on the defense and on luck, which BABIP (batting average on balls in play) tracks.

The math. WHIP = (walks + hits) ÷ innings pitched. Cade Smith has walked 23 batters and allowed 48 hits in 74 innings. His WHIP: (23 + 48) ÷ 74.00 = 71 ÷ 74.00 = 0.96, the published figure. Over a nine-inning game, that is 9 × 71 ÷ 74.00 ≈ 8.6 base runners, where the league average is 11.7.

The scale. Among the 389 pitchers with 40-plus innings, his 0.96 is the 25th-lowest. Every nine innings he allows 11.7 − 8.6 = 3.1 fewer base runners than an average pitcher: fewer chances for the other team to score. Runners and runs go together: his ERA is 1.95.

What it doesn’t tell you:

  • Batters hit .277 against him on balls in play; the typical pitcher with 40-plus innings allows .285. Nothing unusual there, so his WHIP looks earned.
  • Hit batters don’t count: adding his four would raise his WHIP to (71 + 4) ÷ 74.00 = 1.01. Neither do runners who reach on errors.
  • A single and a home run count the same in WHIP, one base runner each, though the homer does far more damage.

Try it. Tonight, keep one pitcher’s WHIP yourself: count the hits and walks he allows and the outs he records. Divide the runners by the innings (outs ÷ 3). Five runners in six innings is 5 ÷ 6 = 0.83.

Go deeper: MLB Glossary: WHIP · MLB Glossary: BABIP · FanGraphs Library: DIPS

Check yourself

  • Q1. Cade Smith retires the next three batters in order. What happens to his WHIP?
  • Q2. A box score shows 6.2 innings. How many innings is that as a decimal?
  • Q3. A batter reaches base when he is hit by a pitch. Does that count against the pitcher’s WHIP?
Show answers
  • A1. It drops. The runners stay at 71 while the innings grow to 75.00: 71 ÷ 75.00 = 0.95.
  • A2. 6 2/3, or 6.67. The digit after the dot counts outs, not tenths.
  • A3. No. Only walks and hits go into WHIP, so a pitcher who hits a lot of batters looks a little better than his real traffic on the bases.

Transaction Wire

  • Padres: RHP Casey Mize back from the 15-day IL (2.3 WAR this season)
  • Padres: recalled LHP Kyle Hart from ACL Padres
  • Dodgers: recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City Comets
  • Yankees: status change for RF Aaron Judge (2.0 WAR this season)
  • Braves: status change for LHP Martín Pérez (1.5 WAR this season)
  • Guardians: signed RHP Anthony Alcantara to a minor league deal
  • Dodgers: signed RHP Maikol Lora to a minor league deal
More moves (40)
  • Braves: recalled RHP Michael Grove from Gwinnett Stripers
  • Braves: recalled RHP Owen Murphy from FCL Braves
  • Braves: status change for CF DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
  • Braves: status change for DH Dominic Smith
  • Braves: status change for DH Kyle Farmer
  • Braves: status change for RHP Blake Burkhalter
  • Braves: status change for RHP Bryce Elder
  • Braves: status change for RHP James Karinchak
  • Braves: status change for RHP Reynaldo López
  • Braves: status change for RHP Rolddy Muñoz
  • Braves: status change for RHP Tyler Uberstine
  • Braves: status change for SS Jim Jarvis
  • Braves: status change for SS Luke Williams
  • Brewers: recalled LHP Colton Gordon from Biloxi Shuckers
  • Padres: status change for 2B Mason McCoy
  • Padres: status change for 2B Sung-Mun Song
  • Padres: status change for 3B Gage Workman
  • Padres: status change for DH Will Wagner
  • Padres: status change for LHP JP Sears
  • Padres: status change for LHP Wandy Peralta
  • Padres: status change for RHP Garrett Hawkins
  • Padres: status change for RHP Griffin Canning
  • Padres: status change for RHP Hunter Stratton
  • Padres: status change for RHP Jeremiah Estrada
  • Padres: status change for RHP Jhony Brito
  • Padres: status change for RHP Randy Vásquez
  • Rays: recalled RHP Alex Cook from Durham Bulls
  • Yankees: recalled RHP Bradley Hanner from FCL Yankees
  • Yankees: recalled RHP Brendan Beck from FCL Yankees
  • Yankees: recalled RHP Luis Gil from FCL Yankees
  • Yankees: status change for 3B Amed Rosario
  • Yankees: status change for C J.C. Escarra
  • Yankees: status change for LF Max Schuemann
  • Yankees: status change for LHP Tim Hill
  • Yankees: status change for RF Jasson Domínguez
  • Yankees: status change for RHP Angel Chivilli
  • Yankees: status change for RHP Clarke Schmidt
  • Yankees: status change for RHP Elmer Rodríguez
  • Yankees: status change for RHP Michael Fulmer
  • Yankees: status change for RHP Yerry De los Santos

Around the World

  • NPB (Japan): Swallows 4, Tigers 0 (shutout)
  • Arizona Fall League: Solar Sox 3, Rafters 4 (walk-off) · Javelinas 10, Desert Dogs 2 · Saguaros 1, Scorpions 4

Around the Web

Last Night’s Games

News

Transactions & Rumors

Analysis · Listen (7)

Analysis

Listen

Terms in This Post

Drama Index · Leverage Index (LI) · Win Probability Added (WPA) · Hard-Hit Rate (HardHit%) · Barrel · every term in the Glossary


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant and NPB.jp data; numbers through Oct. 8, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. Highlight videos link to MLB.com. How this site works