Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026No. 37Morning editionNumbers through Fri, Oct. 30Hot Stove
9 finals around the world14 roster moves2-min readPress time 16:27 CETHeadlines: 2/20 feeds failed
In this editionVenezuelan Winter LeagueTonightAround the WorldHot StoveOn this dayInsideLast Nightp. 2The Wirep. 3Around the Webp. 4
The Whiff
Six at-bats from a dramatic game, one at a time. Make your call before each one plays out.
Play before you read on: the pages below can give the score away.
Venezuelan Winter League
Navegantes 4, Caribes 7 (LVBP)
Navegantes 4, Caribes 7 (LVBP). Red Sox: RHP Sonny Gray elected free agency.
- 3.45 Drama Index, Game of the Night
- 9 finals around the world
Tonight
Jalisco at Culiacan
- League Mexican Pacific League
- First pitch Sun 02:05 CET
- Jalisco 49%
- Culiacan 51%
- Caribes at Leones · 21:00 CET · Caribes 53%
- Estrellas at Tigres · 22:00 CET · Tigres 56%
- Leones at Aguilas · 23:00 CET · Aguilas 51%
- Tiburones at Cardenales · 23:00 CET · Cardenales 60%
Around the World
- KBO: Lions 2, Tigers 4 (Playoff)
- LIDOM: Estrellas 0, Leones 2 (shutout) ★★★ · Aguilas 0, Toros 3 (shutout) ★★ · Tigres 1, Gigantes 5 ★
- LVBP: Aguilas 4, Tiburones 5 ★★★ · Leones 9, Bravos 4 ★★
- LMP: Jalisco 4, Culiacan 3 ★★★★ · Nayarit 3, Mazatlan 5 ★★★
Hot Stove
Red Sox: RHP Sonny Gray elected free agency
- Age 36
- 2026 169.0 IP, 2.72 ERA, 15.1% K-BB
- WAR 3.4
Also: Dustin May elected free agency · Giants: outrighted Andrew Knizner · Guardians: selected Milan Tolentino · Angels: selected Nicolo Pinazzi and 9 more
The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026 · Page 2
Last Night
Game of the Night: Navegantes 4, Caribes 7 (LVBP)
- Drama Index 3.45 ★★★★ · 3 lead changes · peak leverage 5.61 (top 7th)
- Top WPA: César Izturis Jr. +0.37 (batter) · Angel Reyes +0.31 (batter) · Leonel Valera +0.31 (batter)
- Bottom WPA: Harold Chirino -0.39 (pitcher) · Saul Garcia -0.30 (pitcher) · Rougned Odor -0.15 (batter)
Watch: Gameday (MLB.com)
| Inning | Matchup | Result | Win probability | WPA | LI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top 6th | Angel Reyes vs. Harold Chirino | Home Run | MAG 22% → 62% | +0.40 | 2.41 |
| Bot 6th | César Izturis Jr. vs. Saul Garcia | Home Run | ORI 40% → 72% | +0.32 | 2.19 |
| Top 7th | Thairo Estrada vs. Enderjer Sifontes | Strikeout | MAG 48% → 33% | -0.15 | 3.76 |
The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026 · Page 3
The Wire
Transaction Wire
- Angels: RHP Jack Kochanowicz back from the 60-day IL
More moves (8)
- Angels: RHP Robert Stephenson elected free agency
- Cubs: C Carson Kelly elected free agency
- Cubs: LHP Matthew Boyd elected free agency
- Guardians: RHP Shawn Armstrong elected free agency
- Orioles: RHP Zach Eflin elected free agency
- Padres: RHP Michael King elected free agency
- Royals: RHP Carlos Estévez elected free agency
- Twins: DH Josh Bell elected free agency
The Daily Whiff · Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026 · Page 4
Around the Web
News
- Taylor Smith’s Improbable Quest: A Quality SP — Yahoo Sports
- Shushkewich: What are the options for the Blue Jays’ rotation in 2027? — Canadian Baseball Network
- Astros hire Randy Flores as new general manager to continue whirlwind offseason — Yahoo Sports
- Original Dawg Henderson now a World Series champ — Canadian Baseball Network
Transactions & Rumors
- Astros Hire Randy Flores As General Manager — MLB Trade Rumors
- Los Angeles Dodgers offseason outlook: Free agents, trade candidates — Yahoo Sports
- Clint Hurdle, Rockies Parting Ways — MLB Trade Rumors
- Why Pirates need to re-sign Brandon Lowe — Yahoo Sports
Analysis · Prospects · Listen (5)
Analysis
- 2027 Marcels — Baseball Musings
- Cup of Coffee: October 30, 2026 — Cup of Coffee (subscription)
Prospects
- 2026 Detroit Tigers Org Prospect Team — Prospects Live
- The Gloves that Could Make a Difference in the 2027 MLB Draft — Prospects Live
Listen
- Episode 426 – When Opportunity Slips Through Your Legs — This Week in Baseball History · 92 min
Terms in this edition
Drama Index: Our own measure of how much a game kept both sides guessing: the total of every swing in win probability over the game, divided by 100. A game that one team controls from the first inning scores low; a game full of lead changes and late swings scores high.
Leverage Index (LI): How much the next plate appearance can swing win probability, compared with an average plate appearance. 1.0 is average; 2.0 means twice the usual stakes.
Win Probability Added (WPA): How much one play changed a team’s chance of winning. The batter is credited with the change and the pitcher is charged the same amount with the opposite sign; add up a player’s plays and you get his WPA for a game or a season.
Sources & Notes
Built automatically from MLB Stats API and MyKBO Stats data; numbers through Oct. 30, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. How this site works