Rays advance; Brewers go 2-0

Sun, Oct. 25 · Week of Oct. 18-24 · 4 games · 2-min read

The Week at a Glance

  • By the numbers: 4 games · 28 runs · 4 HR · 0 extra-inning games · 2 one-run games · 0 shutouts · 0 walk-offs
  • Extremes: most runs: Guardians 3, Rays 7, Mon Oct. 19
  • Team of the week: Brewers 2-0, +2 run differential, streak W2
  • Biggest comeback: Brewers from 4 down: Rays 4, Brewers 5, Sat Oct. 24

Game of the Week: Rays 4, Brewers 5

  • Sat Oct. 24 · Drama Index 3.69 ★★★★ · 1 lead change · stakes: postseason
Win probability, Rays 4 at Brewers 5, Oct. 24, 2026. Biggest swing: Jonny DeLuca double, 9th inning, +20%.
Above the middle line the Brewers were favored, below it the Rays.
InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 9thJonny DeLuca vs. Aaron AshbyDoubleTB 16% → 36%+0.202.87
Bot 6thSal Frelick vs. Ian SeymourHome RunMIL 40% → 58%+0.181.56
Top 9thYandy Díaz vs. Aaron AshbyStrikeoutTB 13% → 0%-0.134.82
The three biggest swings.

Slugfest Superlatives

PlayerDetailWhen
Best startDrew Rasmussen (TB)+0.32 WPA over 25 batters, innings 1-7vs. CLE, Sun Oct. 18
Best relief outingAaron Ashby (MIL)+0.23 WPA over 6 batters, innings 8-9, entered at LI 1.61vs. TB, Sat Oct. 24
Biggest hitJonny DeLuca (TB)double, top 9th, 4-5 → 4-5, +0.20 WPAvs. MIL, Sat Oct. 24
Toughest week at the plateYandy Díaz (TB)-0.24 WPA over 20 plate appearances4 games

Leaderboards

BatterTeamWPAPAG
Sal FrelickBrewers+0.1872
Richie PalaciosRays+0.1082
Chase DeLauterGuardians+0.0892
Jackson ChourioBrewers+0.0792
Nathaniel LoweGuardians+0.0682
Batting WPA, Oct. 18-24
PitcherTeamWPABFG
Cam BooserRays+0.37133
Aaron AshbyBrewers+0.36112
Abner UribeBrewers+0.3092
Drew RasmussenRays+0.17452
Jacob MisiorowskiBrewers+0.17191
Pitching WPA, Oct. 18-24
TeamW-LRSRADiff
Brewers2-086+2
Rays2-21612+4
Guardians0-2410-6
Best records, Oct. 18-24

The Bracket

  • AL Championship Series: Guardians at Rays, Rays win 4-2 (2 games this week)
  • World Series: Rays at Brewers, Brewers lead 2-0 (2 games this week)

Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API data for the US game days Oct. 18-24, 2026 (4 games); win probability, WPA and leverage cover plate appearances only. How this site works