Rays stun Brewers in 12

Tue, Oct. 27 · 1 game · 5-min read

Press time 17:11 CET · Final 1/1 · Statcast: posted

Last Night at a Glance

  • World Series Game 4: Brewers 3, Rays 4 (12) · Brewers lead 3-1
  • Walk-offs: Brewers 3, Rays 4 (12): Ben Williamson single
  • Extra innings: Brewers 3, Rays 4 (12)

Tonight (CET)

Wed, Oct. 28 · 1 game · none before 23:00 CET · starters as of 17:11 CET

MatchupStart CET (ET)SeriesAway SPHome SPStakes
MIL 103-59
@ TB 98-64
Thu 01:00
(8:00 p.m.)
WS G5 of 7
MIL leads 3-1
Jacob Misiorowski
1.80 · 2.17 · 31.3% · 174.2
TBDMIL can clinch; TB faces elimination
Prague time (CET), US Eastern in brackets; final regular-season W-L. SP: announced probable starter (TBD = not yet), season ERA · FIP · K-BB% · IP; a/b GS = starts/games for a pitcher who mostly relieves. Stakes: series score as of this morning. ● = starts before 23:00 CET.

Scoreboard

MatchupFinalDramaDecisionsLinks
MIL @ TB3-4 (12)4.43 ★★★★★W Seymour · L DrohanBox · Savant
Sorted by Drama Index: how much win probability swung during the game.

The Bracket

Wild Card Series (best of three, every game at the higher seed)

  • AL: White Sox at Astros: White Sox win 2-0.
  • AL: Red Sox at Yankees: Yankees win 2-0.
  • NL: Phillies at Braves: Braves win 2-1.
  • NL: Cubs at Padres: Padres win 2-0.

Division Series (best of five)

  • AL: Yankees at Rays: Rays win 3-0.
  • AL: White Sox at Guardians: Guardians win 3-2.
  • NL: Padres at Brewers: Brewers win 3-1.
  • NL: Braves at Dodgers: Dodgers win 3-1.

Championship Series (best of seven)

  • AL: Guardians at Rays: Rays win 4-2.
  • NL: Dodgers at Brewers: Brewers win 4-0.

World Series (best of seven)

  • Rays at Brewers: Brewers lead 3-1 · Game 5: Thu, Oct. 29, 01:00 CET (8:00 p.m. ET) · history: up 3-1 in a best-of-seven, 82 of 96 won the series.

Game of the Night: Brewers 3, Rays 4 (12)

  • Drama Index 4.43 ★★★★★ · 2 lead changes · 12 innings · peak leverage 5.48 (bottom 12th)
  • In history: 50th most dramatic of 707 World Series games since 1903 (Retrosheet) · The most dramatic World Series games
  • Top WPA: Cooper Pratt +0.53 (batter) · Aaron Ashby +0.34 (pitcher) · Liam Hicks +0.25 (batter)
  • Bottom WPA: Shane Drohan -0.66 (pitcher) · Jonathan Aranda -0.30 (batter) · Ian Seymour -0.30 (pitcher)
Win probability, Brewers 3 at Rays 4, 12 innings, Oct. 27, 2026. Biggest swing: Cooper Pratt home run, 12th inning, +34%.
Above the middle line the Rays were favored, below it the Brewers.

Watch: condensed game, 33 min · recap, 7 min (MLB.com)

InningMatchupResultWin probabilityWPALI
Top 12thCooper Pratt vs. Ian SeymourHome RunMIL 50% → 84%+0.342.29
Bot 12thLiam Hicks vs. Shane DrohanSingleTB 34% → 65%+0.315.48
Bot 12thJonny DeLuca vs. Shane DrohanSingleTB 65% → 81%+0.164.48
The three biggest swings.

Top Performers

StarterGameIPHR (ER)BBKPitchesGSc
Dustin MayMIL @ TB3.032033949
Griffin JaxTB vs. MIL4.042267446
Best starts by Game Score v2 (50 is average, 70+ is excellent).
BatterTeamLineWPA
Cooper PrattMIL4-for-5, HR, 2B, 2 RBI+0.53
Liam HicksTB2-for-5+0.25
Chandler SimpsonTB3-for-5, 2B, 1 RBI+0.18
Jonny DeLucaTB1-for-5, 1 RBI+0.14
Junior CamineroTB1-for-5+0.10
Best bats by Win Probability Added (+0.50 = half a win).

Statcast Corner

CategoryPlayerDetailWhere
Unluckiest outCooper Pratt (MIL)line drive out, xBA .917, 96.0 mph (154 km/h), caught by LF Chandler SimpsonMIL @ TB, top 2
Fastest pitchAbner Uribe (MIL)99.7 mph (160 km/h) sinker to Victor Mesa Jr.MIL @ TB, bot 5
Hardest-hit ballJonathan Aranda (TB)108.1 mph (174 km/h) line drive out off Abner UribeMIL @ TB, bot 6
Longest home runCooper Pratt (MIL)396 ft (121 m), 99.1 mph (159 km/h)MIL @ TB, top 12

Data

Tables and charts: the latest games by Drama Index, the standings, run and win expectancy, the most dramatic games in history

Transaction Wire

  • Astros: released LF Nelson Velázquez · MLB Trade Rumors
  • Cardinals: signed RHP Yonewris Garcia to a minor league deal

Around the World

  • KBO (Korea): Tigers 3, Lions 8 (Playoff)
  • Venezuelan Winter League: Cardenales 5, Bravos 9 ★★★★ · Aguilas 6, Caribes 10 ★ · Tiburones 10, Navegantes 2 ★
  • Mexican Pacific League: Mazatlan 7, Hermosillo 6 ★★★★★ · Mexicali 1, Nayarit 2 ★★★ · Navojoa 0, Guasave 5 (shutout) ★★ · Culiacan 1, Obregon 6 ★★ · Los Mochis 5, Jalisco 8 ★
  • Arizona Fall League: Rafters 0, Desert Dogs 1 (shutout) ★★★ · Scorpions 11, Solar Sox 6 ★★★ · Saguaros 3, Javelinas 11 ★★

Around the Web

Last Night’s Games

News

Transactions & Rumors

Analysis · Listen (7)

Analysis

Listen

Terms in This Post

Drama Index · Leverage Index (LI) · Win Probability Added (WPA) · Hard-Hit Rate (HardHit%) · Barrel · every term in the Glossary


Sources & Notes

Built automatically from MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant and MyKBO Stats data; numbers through Oct. 27, 2026, with FIP, xFIP, WAR and wRC+ up to a day behind. Highlight videos link to MLB.com. The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at “www.retrosheet.org”. How this site works